Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Patchy to locally dense fog across North and Central Florida will gradually lift and dissipate by the mid-mornings.
- The weak cold front from yesterday will continue to slowly make its way southward towards the I-4 corridor throughout the day, but remain mostly dry as it moves through.
- Elevated moisture will continue to be pulled northward from the Gulf waters allowing for isolated to scattered showers throughout the morning hours across the western Panhandle (20-45% chance of rain).
- Isolated showers will be possible across the eastern Peninsula throughout the day as onshore winds bring showers onshore (15-20% chance of rain).
- Wind gusts of 10-15 mph will develop by the late afternoon hours, with stronger wind gusts of 20 mph across Southeast Florida and the Keys.
- High temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s can be expected across North Florida, with above normal high temperatures in the middle to upper 80s persisting across the Peninsula.
- Mostly dry conditions will return tonight as the frontal boundary continues to push towards the Keys and high pressure develops over the eastern U.S. (15-25% chance of rain).
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents continues for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches due to breezy onshore winds and lingering ocean swells.
- King Tides will return by mid-to-late week and bring instances of minor coastal flooding for East Coast and Keys due to elevated tides and onshore winds. Coastal Flood Statements have been issued across portions of Southeast Florida and the Keys.
- Minor to moderate to riverine flooding continues for Withlacoochee and St. Johns River basin as water levels continue to slowly decline.
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to monitor:
- Central and Western Caribbean Sea: A tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development. A tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly westward into the Caribbean Sea. Afterward, the disturbance is expected to meander over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend and begin moving slowly, generally northwestward, by early next week. This system poses no direct threat to Florida over the next 7-10 days, at least, but will continue to be monitored.
- *Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40%.
- *Formation chance through 7 days…high…80%.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.