Official

SPC Nov 21, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0345 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

Valid 241200Z - 291200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Models indicate a relatively strong zonal pattern over much of the
CONUS for Sun/D4 into Mon/D5, with a shortwave trough skirting the
Great Lakes area. Then, through the Thu/D8 period, there is a
possibility of a low-amplitude trough amplification within this
strong belt of flow, moving across the southern Plains and
Southeast.

Predictability for this later scenario is low at this time, as there
is little run-to-run consistency. However, the air mass over the
western Gulf of Mexico, spreading into the lower MS Valley, will
become progressively more moist and unstable each day, and severe
weather may become possible in those areas. The initial more robust
moisture return from southeast TX across LA and southern MS/AL may
be accompanied by substantial clouds and precipitation, but stronger
destabilization will be possible as the warm front potentially moves
north into the Wed/D7 to Thu/D8 time frame.

Read more

StormPrep

Share
Published by
StormPrep

Recent Posts

Special Weather Statement issued April 20 at 9:42PM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK

Rain/snow showers returned to the Yukon Delta Sunday afternoon as the next system arrived. Showers…

5 minutes ago

Rip Current Statement issued April 20 at 8:54PM CDT until April 22 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...In Alabama, Mobile Coastal and Baldwin Coastal Counties. In Florida,…

5 minutes ago

Flood Warning issued April 21 at 3:38AM CDT until April 23 at 3:42AM CDT by NWS Wichita KS

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Kansas... Neosho River near Parsons…

6 minutes ago

Flood Warning issued April 21 at 3:37AM CDT until April 23 at 10:46AM CDT by NWS Wichita KS

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas... Neosho River at Oswego affecting…

6 minutes ago

Flood Warning issued April 21 at 3:06AM CDT until April 22 at 5:54AM CDT by NWS Tulsa OK

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Spring River near Quapaw affecting…

6 minutes ago

Flood Warning issued April 21 at 3:05AM CDT until April 23 at 4:00PM CDT by NWS Springfield MO

...The National Weather Service in Springfield MO has issued a Flood Warning for the following…

6 minutes ago

This website uses cookies.