Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Patchy fog this morning across North and Central Florida will gradually dissipate and lift by the mid-to-late morning hours.
- A weak cold front will bring scattered to widespread showers across the western Panhandle as it moves towards the Southeast U.S. throughout the day, with additional isolated showers extending across the I-10 corridor (45-60% chance of rain).
- There is no organized risk for flash flooding today; however, instances of locally heavier rainfall or multiple rounds of shower activity along the western Panhandle could bring instances of localized flooding for urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- Onshore winds along the Florida East Coast will continue to bring isolated showers onshore across East-Central and Southeast Florida throughout the day (20-25% chance of rain).
- Above normal high temperatures for this year will persist statewide reaching the upper 70s to low 80s across the Panhandle and middle to upper 80s across the Peninsula.
- Scattered showers will continue overnight across the western Panhandle as the frontal boundary moves into the Panhandle, but mostly dry conditions can be expected elsewhere across the state (15-30% chance of rain).
- Areas of patchy to locally dense fog may develop overnight or early Tuesday morning across the Suwannee Valley and the I-75 corridor.
- Despite ocean swells reducing across Panhandle and East Florida beaches, persistent onshore winds will continue to create a high risk for rip currents.
- Minor to moderate riverine flooding continues for the Withlacoochee and St. Johns River basins as water levels continue to slowly decline.
- The Withlacoochee at Croom and St. Johns near Sanford are forecast to fall below flood stage later today or tomorrow.
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring:
- Western Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of the system thereafter. A tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend while slowly moving westward. This system poses no direct threat to Florida over the next 7-10 days, at least, but will continue to be monitored.
- *Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0%.
- *Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40%.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
