SPC Nov 28, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1056 AM CST Thu Nov 28 2024

Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday.

...Synopsis...
A large upper trough will remain over eastern North America on
Friday with an upper low over northeastern Ontario. Cool
temperatures aloft will extend far south across the northern Gulf of
Mexico and FL as well, where a band of steeper midlevel lapse rates
will exist.

At the surface, high pressure will encompass most of the CONUS,
resulting in a stable surface air mass.

The lone area with any thunderstorm/lightning potential will be over
parts of FL, where a band of midlevel moisture will remain above the
more stable surface layer. The steep midlevel lapse rates and a band
of moisture around 700 mb may foster elevated convection/weak
thunderstorms over central and northern FL. Given such weak
instability, severe hail appears unlikely.

..Jewell.. 11/28/2024

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