SPC Dec 4, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1023 AM CST Wed Dec 04 2024

Valid 041630Z - 051200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected from North/East Texas to the
ArkLaMiss today and tonight. Severe thunderstorms are not currently
expected.

...Synopsis...
Scattered thunderstorms continue in East Texas and will spread into
the ArkLaMiss through the remainder of today/tonight. Ahead of a
very weak frontal wave along the middle Texas coast, a narrow zone
of surface dewpoints in upper 60s to perhaps low 70s F will have
some potential to advance inland along the immediate coast. This
should continue into the evening/overnight into parts of southeast
Texas and southwest Louisiana.

...Middle/Upper Texas Coast into Southwest Louisiana...
Despite substantial cloud cover, a few surface observations in the
vicinity of Matagorda Bay have warmed to the low 70s F. Dewpoints
here have also risen to the upper 60s/low 70s F. It is possible a
few more robust storms occur near the coast this afternoon into the
evening, some of which may exhibit weak low-level rotation due to
the low-level shear in the warm advection zone. However, weak lapse
rates near the surface and aloft in combination with weak
large-scale ascent suggest that storms will likely struggle to
maintain intensity. That being said, the threat for severe weather
continues to appear low today.

..Wendt.. 12/04/2024

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