Official

SPC Dec 6, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1109 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024

Valid 061630Z - 071200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected. Isolated weak thunderstorms
are possible today from southeast Arizona and southern New Mexico to
East Texas.

...AZ/NM/TX...
A weak upper low is centered over southeast AZ this morning, with
the subtropical upper jet extending from northern Mexico into TX. 
Weak large-scale ascent beneath the jet, coupled with increasing
low-level warm/moist advection will yield gradually increasing risk
of showers and a few widely scattered elevated thunderstorms through
tonight across much of central/south TX and southern AZ/NM.  Weak
instability will preclude the risk of severe thunderstorms.

..Hart/Squitieri.. 12/06/2024

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