SPC Dec 7, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1142 PM CST Fri Dec 06 2024

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Elevated convection will likely continue across a large portion of
Texas on Saturday, with occasional/embedded thunderstorms. No severe
weather is expected.

...Discussion...
As an upper trough shifts away from New England/across the Canadian
Maritimes, a gradual trend toward more zonal flow will occur in the
main branch of polar westerlies across the northern CONUS.  Farther
south, a low within the southern branch of split flow will meander
east-northeastward across northern Mexico, southern Arizona, and
southern New Mexico, reaching the southern High Plains late.

Ahead of this low, a broad, weak warm-advection regime will persist
across the southern Plains vicinity.  Within this area of warm
advection/ascent, persistent convection will be maintained through
the period.  Therein, occasional/elevated thunderstorms are expected
-- particularly across portions of central and eastern Texas.  Given
weak CAPE, and the elevated nature of the convection atop a
cold/stable boundary layer, severe weather is not expected.

..Goss/Moore.. 12/07/2024

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