Official

SPC Dec 7, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1045 AM CST Sat Dec 07 2024

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are still possible from southeast Texas into the Lower
Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for
severe thunderstorms remains very low.

...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will rapidly eject into the Southern Plains and
impinge on the TN Valley while preceding a larger upper trough that
is poised to overspread the central and northern CONUS tomorrow
(Sunday). The approach of the Southern Plains mid-level trough will
encourage broad low-level warm-air/moisture advection across
portions of the Lower MS Valley into the TN Valley regions. Latest
guidance consensus continues to depict a warm-sector characterized
by scant buoyancy, with widespread rainfall and embedded elevated
thunderstorms expected to overspread the Lower MS and TN Valleys
Sunday into Sunday night. High-resolution guidance consensus hints
at the possibility of 100-500 J/kg SBCAPE over southern LA by
afternoon peak heating, amid curved and elongated hodographs. While
a rotating storm or perhaps brief tornado cannot be completely ruled
out, the lack of confidence in developing surface-based buoyancy
precludes severe probabilities this outlook.

..Squitieri.. 12/07/2024

Read more

StormPrep

Share
Published by
StormPrep

Recent Posts

Special Weather Statement issued April 20 at 9:42PM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK

Rain/snow showers returned to the Yukon Delta Sunday afternoon as the next system arrived. Showers…

5 minutes ago

Rip Current Statement issued April 20 at 8:54PM CDT until April 22 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...In Alabama, Mobile Coastal and Baldwin Coastal Counties. In Florida,…

5 minutes ago

Flood Warning issued April 21 at 3:38AM CDT until April 23 at 3:42AM CDT by NWS Wichita KS

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Kansas... Neosho River near Parsons…

5 minutes ago

Flood Warning issued April 21 at 3:37AM CDT until April 23 at 10:46AM CDT by NWS Wichita KS

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas... Neosho River at Oswego affecting…

5 minutes ago

Flood Warning issued April 21 at 3:06AM CDT until April 22 at 5:54AM CDT by NWS Tulsa OK

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Spring River near Quapaw affecting…

5 minutes ago

Flood Warning issued April 21 at 3:05AM CDT until April 23 at 4:00PM CDT by NWS Springfield MO

...The National Weather Service in Springfield MO has issued a Flood Warning for the following…

5 minutes ago

This website uses cookies.