Official

SPC Dec 8, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1013 AM CST Sun Dec 08 2024

Valid 081630Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

...Lower MS Valley...
A weak upper low is tracking northeastward across the TX Panhandle
today, with the subtropical mid-level jet extending from northern
Mexico into the lower MS Valley.  Broad large-scale ascent has
resulted in periodic episodes of thunderstorms across TX overnight
and this morning.  This regime is expected to shift eastward today
into more of AR/LA and eventually the TN Valley overnight. 
Low-level and deep-layer vertical shear is very strong, and there is
a low probability of a strong storm or two across northeast LA into
western/central MS late this afternoon capable of gusty winds. 
However, thermodynamics are quite weak and the overall severe threat
appears too low to introduce probabilities.

..Hart/Squitieri.. 12/08/2024

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