An active weather pattern will begin later today, with scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms becoming increasingly numerous west of the US-231 corridor this afternoon and evening (50-75% chance of rain).
The greatest coverage of shower and thunderstorm activity arrives tonight along the I-10 corridor (75-near 100% chance of rain) as the slow-moving frontal system advances eastward.
Isolated ponding water and floodingwill be possible across the western Florida Panhandle, especially for low-lying/flood-prone locations that see multiple rounds of training showers and thunderstorms.
Atmospheric conditions this afternoon become somewhat conducive forisolated strong to locally severe thunderstormsahead of the cold front, and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather along the Florida Panhandle and western Florida Big Bend.
While a few damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph) and a tornado or two will be possible, the persistent cloud cover we have seen through the morning hours may become a limiting factor; radar and satellite trends will continue to be monitored to determine the extent of the eventual severe weather risk.
Rain chances remain near zero elsewhere across the state, with afternoon high temperatures rising into the lower to middle 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies.
Areas of patchy fog and low clouds cannot be ruled out along the coastal Florida Big Bend and through the Florida Peninsula tonight into Wednesday morning.
A moderate tohigh risk of rip currentspersists along the Florida Panhandle and Florida East Coast today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.