SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Wed Dec 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities are negligible on Thursday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for thunderstorm activity will envelop much of the CONUS tomorrow. Two areas of sub-10 percent thunderstorm probabilities remain apparent. An Arctic air mass will settle into the Upper Great Lakes. Downstream, lake-effect snow bands will persist with the most organized one expected in the lee of eastern Lake Ontario. A few lightning flashes are possible during the period of maximum snow rate intensity, seemingly from late afternoon into Thursday night. A couple elevated thunderstorms could develop over a portion of the Desert Southwest from southeast CA to the Lower CO Valley ahead of an approaching shortwave trough. Despite strong forcing for ascent, buoyancy appears minimal with MUCAPE likely holding sub-100 J/kg. ..Grams.. 12/11/2024