Official

SPC Dec 16, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0347 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2024

Valid 191200Z - 241200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Medium range guidance is in fairly good agreement that an amplified
but progressive upper level pattern will overspread the CONUS during
the Day 4-8 period. A shortwave trough over the northern Plains
early on Day 4/Thu will deepen and spread east over the eastern half
of the CONUS through Day 6 or 7/Sat or Sun. Meanwhile, an amplified
upper ridge will build over the western states and spread east into
the Plains during this same time period. Spread among guidance
increases around Day 6-8/Sat-Mon, but still indicates that another
upper trough will emerge over the Plains and Midwest late in the
period. 

A surface cold front will move south and east into the Gulf of
Mexico and offshore the Atlantic coast on Thursday. This will clear
out any lingering boundary-layer moisture and persistent offshore
trajectories will mostly preclude much thunderstorm potential for
most of the forecast period. The exception may be on Day 7-8/Sun-Mon
as lee troughing allow for southeasterly flow to return across the
western Gulf and TX, bringing modest moisture northward across
southern/central TX. Nevertheless, severe-thunderstorm potential
appears low throughout the forecast period.

Read more

StormPrep

Share
Published by
StormPrep

Recent Posts

In 2024, the United States produced more energy than ever before

In 2024, the United States produced a record amount of energy, according to data in…

33 minutes ago

Special Marine Warning issued June 10 at 1:26AM CDT until June 10 at 2:00AM CDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

For the following areas... Coastal waters from Okaloosa-Walton County Line to Mexico Beach out 20…

2 hours ago

Special Marine Warning issued June 10 at 12:42AM CDT until June 10 at 1:45AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

For the following areas... Coastal waters from Okaloosa-Walton County Line to Pensacola FL out 20…

2 hours ago

Special Marine Warning issued June 10 at 1:39AM EDT until June 10 at 4:45AM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

SMWTAE The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a * Special Marine Warning for...…

2 hours ago

Small Craft Advisory issued June 10 at 1:27AM EDT until June 10 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston SC

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas…

2 hours ago

This website uses cookies.