Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Mon Dec 23 2024 Valid 261200Z - 311200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe-weather potential is still expected for Days 4-6 Thursday-Saturday, as an upper trough emerging from California and the Southwest deserts moves toward the Ozarks/Deep South by Thursday/Day 4. At least a low-end multi-day regional severe risk is expected across south-central and east/southeast Texas towards parts of the ArkLaTex, and possibly the Lower Mississippi Valley. In particular, Thursday/Day 4 could ultimately warrant Slight Risk-caliber severe probabilities across south-central to east/southeast Texas although guidance variability persists, while objective/machine-learning guidance generally also persist with sub-15 percent probabilities.