SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1024 AM CST Fri Dec 27 2024 Valid 271630Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM SOUTHEAST LA/MS INTO SOUTHWEST AL AND THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to locally severe thunderstorms could occur today across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. ...Central Gulf Coast Region... A compact negative-tilted shortwave trough that has provided occasionally strong thunderstorms to parts of southern MS/southeast LA is tracking away from the Gulf Coast region. Low-level winds are slowly veering/decreasing with time, suggesting the threat of supercell structures and associated severe threat is marginal through mid-afternoon. Another strong upper trough that is now over north TX will graze the same area late this afternoon, possibly resulting in a re-invigoration of convection across southeast MS and southwest AL. The air mass has been slow to recover, with mid 60s dewpoints restricted to areas just a few rows of counties inland. Widespread clouds will also limit destabilization. Locally gusty winds or a brief tornado will remain possible with this renewed early evening activity, but the overall threat appears marginal. ..Hart/Leitman.. 12/27/2024
