An active weather pattern can be expected across the Sunshine State due to a strong low pressure system moving towards the Midwest and its tailing cold front extending across the U.S. East Coast.
A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to move across the I-10 corridor throughout the morning hours as the cold front advances eastward before pushing into the Peninsula and breaking apart (55-near 100% chance of rain).
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather across much of North Florida with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) extending into the northern Peninsula as severe thunderstorms may be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (60-70 mph), embedded tornadoes and heavy downpours.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across portions of the Panhandle and Big Bend as heavy downpours may lead to instances of localized flooding.
The same disturbance is creating widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms across South Florida, and these showers and thunderstorms will continue to push onshore and inland throughout the day from the adjacent Gulf waters (50-near 100% chance of rain).
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across the southern Peninsula and the Keys as isolated severe thunderstorms may be capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (45-55 mph), isolated tornadoes and heavy downpours.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding along Southwest Florida and the Keys where moderate to heavy downpours could create instances of localized flooding.
Drier conditions will gradually return throughout the late overnight and early morning hours as the front pushes offshore along with shower and thunderstorm activity (25-45% chance of rain).
Areas of patchy fog will be possible overnight throughout the state, with locally dense fog possible throughout much of North Florida by the early morning hours on Monday.
A high risk for rip currents persists along the Panhandle and Atlantic Coast due to onshore winds and elevated surf near 3-6′.
A River Flood Warning has been issued for the Perdido River near Barrineau Park due to recent heavy rainfall along the western Panhandle and southern Alabama leading to water levels rising. The river is forecast to rise into minor flood stage overnight and then fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.