SPC Jan 5, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1253 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHEAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms associated with isolated severe gusts will be possible
across parts of the Southeast on Monday.

...Southeast...
A mid-level trough will move eastward across the Tennessee Valley
and central Gulf Coast states on Monday, as a cold front advances
eastward into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Thunderstorms
may be ongoing along and near the front at the start of the period
from the Florida Panhandle into south-central Georgia. This line of
convection is forecast to move eastward across the remainder of
Georgia by early afternoon. The southern end of the line is forecast
to move across northern Florida during the morning and afternoon.
Although large-scale ascent and low-level convergence should be
relatively weak, the line may re-organize somewhat as surface
heating takes place. Forecast soundings by 21Z on Monday across
northern Florida have MUCAPE near 500 J/kg and 0-6 km shear in the
60 to 65 knot range. This could be enough for marginally severe
gusts, with the stronger components of the line.

..Broyles.. 01/05/2025

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