SPC Jan 5, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0128 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday or Tuesday night
across the continental U.S.

...Discussion...
In the wake of a strong cold front, over the western Atlantic and
southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday morning, cold/Arctic high pressure
will continue expanding, to encompass much of the CONUS.

In the Southwest, a mid-level short-wave trough -- on the western
fringe of broad cyclonic flow covering most of the U.S. -- will
gradually cut off from the main belt of flow and shift southward
across the Lower Colorado River Valley toward/into northwestern
Mexico.  

Beneath the cold pool associated with the evolving low, steep
mid-level lapse rates will contribute to meager CAPE, and possibly a
couple of lightning strikes with scattered convection evolving
overnight across central and southern Arizona.

Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected through the period.

..Goss.. 01/05/2025

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