SPC MD 11

MD 0011 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 1… FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LA

Mesoscale Discussion 0011
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1223 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

Areas affected...portions of central and northern LA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 1...

Valid 051823Z - 052000Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 1 continues.

SUMMARY...Some increase in tornado potential is expected over the
next 1-3 hours across portions of central and northern Louisiana and
vicinity.

DISCUSSION...Surface dewpoints have increased to the 64-67 F degree
range in a relatively narrow corridor ahead of the
eastward-advancing cold front and QLCS. Convection within this
corridor is strengthening within a zone of modest low-level
confluence. Isolated, semi-discrete cells have occasionally shown
moderate low and midlevel rotation. If this convection can continue
to mature as it moves through the moist axis and a zone of
relatively higher 0-1 km SRH, tornado potential may increase the
next couple of hours. Additionally, convection along the cold front
may also intensify as it moves into this more favorable environment.

..Leitman.. 01/05/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON   31069257 30959282 30879302 30859321 30859355 30969374
            31039384 31289384 31759356 32689271 32799246 32879210
            32799188 32549182 32009200 31309235 31069257 

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