SPC MD 2

MD 0002 CONCERNING FREEZING RAIN FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS INTO FAR WESTERN MISSOURI

Mesoscale Discussion 0002
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0838 PM CST Sat Jan 04 2025

Areas affected...south-central Kansas into far western Missouri

Concerning...Freezing rain 

Valid 050238Z - 050845Z

SUMMARY...Areas of light freezing rain may intensify later this
evening, spreading out of south-central Kansas into far western
Missouri. Small hail may also occur from far northern Oklahoma into
southern Kansas.

DISCUSSION...Light freezing drizzle/rain persists this evening over
south-central KS north of the warm front over northern OK. VWPs
indicate increasing southwest flow just above the stable/cold
boundary layer, which will result in increasing moisture advection
and lift atop the cold air mass.

Indications are that heavier convective elements/elevated
thunderstorms may form over far northern OK into southern KS between
03-06Z. As this activity expands northeast and north of the freezing
line, moderate to heavy bursts of freezing rain may occur. Forecast
soundings indicate several hundred J/kg MUCAPE will develop by 06Z,
and very small hail cannot be ruled out.

..Jewell.. 01/05/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   37939408 37899458 37839508 37749580 37689647 37599709
            37539764 37499813 37579841 37899841 38419798 38689652
            38829442 38659376 38389367 38119374 37939408 

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