SPC MD 26

MD 0026 CONCERNING FREEZING RAIN FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS

Mesoscale Discussion 0026
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0306 PM CST Thu Jan 09 2025

Areas affected...Portions of northeast Texas into far southeast
Oklahoma and far southwest Arkansas

Concerning...Freezing rain 

Valid 092106Z - 100100Z

SUMMARY...Freezing rain and perhaps some snow/sleet mix will
continue spreading northeastward across northeast Texas into the
early evening. Some locations could see freezing rain rates around
0.10 inch/3 hours.

DISCUSSION...Recent mosaic radar data shows a swath of mixed winter
precipitation spreading northeastward across north-central TX --
where surface temperatures are hovering around 32-33F. Within a belt
of strong deep-layer southwesterly flow, and at the nose of an
eastward-shifting plume of warm advection, this activity will
continue expanding across northeast TX into this evening. Here,
forecast soundings indicate a deep/saturated profile with a
warm-nose temperature around 0.1-0.2C atop sub-freezing surface
conditions -- favoring partial melting of descending hydrometeors.
This should support primarily freezing rain, though some mix of
sleet/snow will also be possible. Freezing rain rates around 0.10
inch/3 hours will be possible in some locations across northeast TX
into far southeast OK and southwest AR through the evening.

..Weinman.. 01/09/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...

LAT...LON   33509657 33859559 34159415 33919365 33519363 33039489
            32809603 32799651 33119687 33509657 

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