Widespread showers have developed this morning and are moving along the I-10 corridor this morning in association with a Gulf low pressure system along the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.
These widespread showers can be expected to move eastward, then southward into the Peninsula throughout the day as the Gulf low moves towards the Florida West Coast (70-near 100% chance of rain).
Any potential thunderstorm activity associated with this system will remain limited and near the Big Bend and West-Central Florida coastlines and coastal waters.
Organized flash flooding is not expected; however, heavy downpours may allow for instances of nuisance flooding or ponding of water for urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
Breezy wind gusts of 10-15 mph will be possible throughout North and West-Central Florida during the daytime hours, with possible wind gusts upwards of 20 mph along the western Panhandle.
Extensive cloud cover and shower activity will keep high temperatures in the middle to upper 40s and low 50s across North Florida, while Central Florida can expect high temperatures in the upper 50s to middle 70s and South Florida will see high temperatures in the middle to upper 70s and low 80s.
The Gulf low will begin to weaken and lose its moisture as it moves along the I-4 corridor and crosses over towards the western Atlantic waters overnight, but will keep shower activity isolated to scattered Central and South Florida (30-40% chance of rain).
Drier and cooler air will filter back in behind the system overnight across North Florida allowing for low temperatures to return to the 30s, with portions of the northern Panhandle falling near or below freezing.
Areas of patchy frost will also be possible throughout North Florida overnight and early Tuesday morning.
Feels-like temperatures, or wind chill values, will fall into the middle toupper 20sand low 30s north of and along the I-10 corridor and middle to upper 30s throughout the rest of North Florida early Tuesday morning.
Onshore winds and developing ocean swells will create wave heights of 3-5′ along Panhandle beaches creating a high risk for rip currents. Central Florida beaches can expect a moderate risk for rip currents to persist.
Shoal River near Crestview is forecast to rise in Action Stage (bank-full) over the next day or two with ongoing widespread rainfall, but is not forecast to rise into flood stage.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.