SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected tonight. ...01z Update... Weak mid-level disturbance is ejecting across northeast Mexico toward deep south TX early this evening. This feature should encourage weak elevated convection along the cool side of an offshore coastal boundary tonight. 00z sounding from BRO exhibits a modestly steep 3-6km lapse rate (7 C/km), and while moist, MUCAPE is only 100 J/kg. Lapse rates will likely remain a bit too weak, given the moisture, for updrafts to attain heights necessary for lightning discharge. ..Darrow.. 01/15/2025