SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1117 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2025 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms may occur over parts of the Southeast on Saturday. Severe thunderstorm potential is forecast to remain low. ...Northern Florida/Florida Panhandle... A large upper-level trough will amplify through the period on Saturday with eventual phasing of the southern stream and polar jet across the Southeast by 12Z Sunday. Low-level flow will be mostly weak through the day Saturday which will keep better low-level moisture offshore. Saturday night, low-level flow will start to strengthen which may bring mid 60s dewpoints inland across the Florida Panhandle and northern Florida Peninsula. As the upper-level jet phases and consolidates, a surface low will start to deepen across the Southeast with a sharpening cold front. Thunderstorm activity is expected in the vicinity of this front Saturday night into early Sunday. If any storms can remain along or ahead of the surface front, a strong to isolated severe storm may be possible. However, the orientation of the front would seem to favor mostly anafrontal convection. Given the relatively weak instability forecast, elevated thunderstorms will likely not pose any severe weather threat despite the strongly sheared environment. ..Bentley.. 01/17/2025