Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1235 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY ACROSS CENTRAL FL... ...SUMMARY... Isolated wind damage and an isolated tornado will be possible during the day across central Florida. ...Central FL during the day Sunday... Within a large-scale trough over much of the CONUS, an embedded mid-upper jet streak will move over the Southeast and off the Atlantic coast, as an associated surface cold front progresses southeastward across the FL peninsula during the day. Some increase in low-level moisture is expected ahead of the front during the day, with boundary-layer dewpoints in the 60s and temperatures in the 70s. However, midlevel lapse rates will be poor and buoyancy will remain limited (MLCAPE will likely peak in the 500-750 J/kg range). The combination of weak buoyancy and sufficiently long, relatively straight hodographs will support low potential for organized storms in a band along the cold front, perhaps with strong outflow gusts. ..Thompson.. 01/18/2025
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