Hydrologic Outlook issued February 9 at 2:00PM EST by NWS Morristown TN

ESFMRX

Multiple storm systems will impact the area this week and next
weekend with moderate to heavy rainfall.

The first storm system will impact the area on Tuesday and Tuesday
night with 1 to 3 inches of rainfall across the area. Uncertainty
exists in where the heaviest rainfall will fall, but the highest
probability for heavy rainfall will be across southeast Tennessee
and southwest North Carolina.

The second storm system will bring moderate to heavy rainfall to
the area on Wednesday night into Thursday with 1 to 3 inches of
rain. There is higher certainty in the heaviest rainfall being
limited to southeast Tennessee and southwest North Carolina.

The third storm system will bring moderate to heavy rainfall to
the area next Saturday into Sunday with an additional 1 to 3
inches of rain. These several rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall
will produce between 3 and 8 inches of total rainfall across the
area through next Sunday.

Current antecedent soil moisture is much above normal across the
northern plateau, Clinch Mountains, and southwest Virginia due to
recent rainfall. Even lower rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches will
result in some flooding problems in these areas. These locations
will be the most flood prone on Tuesday into Wednesday.

Above normal soil moisture conditions continue across the East
Tennessee mountains and northeast Tennessee. Near normal soil
moisture is observed across much of the valley and southwest North
Carolina. Patches of drier soil moisture conditions are noted
across southeast Tennessee. The risk of flooding will be
increasing area-wide throughout the week and into next weekend
with increased streamflows likely.

If you live or work near flood prone locations such as creeks,
stream, and rivers, you should have a plan for if flooding occurs. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, and your local media
for further updates.