Hydrologic Outlook issued February 11 at 1:55PM CST by NWS Nashville TN

ESFOHX

There is an increasing probability of widespread rainfall amounts
of 3 inches or more from Friday night through Sunday. This could
lead to flooding of rivers across Middle Tennessee. Some locations
may even reach moderate flood stage. Here are the rivers where any
location along the river has a chance to reach Action Stage, Minor
Flood Stage, or Moderate Flood Stage over the weekend and into
early next week:

Buffalo River –
20% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage
40% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage
70% chance of reaching Action Stage

Cumberland River Below Old Hickory Dam –
<5% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage
10% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage
100% chance of reaching Action Stage

Duck River Below Shelbyville –
10% chance of reaching Major Flood Stage
30% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage
40% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage
70% chance of reaching Action Stage

Harpeth River between Franklin and Kingston Springs –
20% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage
30% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage
40% chance of reaching Action Stage

The saturated soils in place ahead of this event could lead to quick
rises in smaller creeks and streams as well, especially with any
strong thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening. This time of
year rainfall rates of 0.5 to 1.0 inches per hour are enough to
cause flash flooding, and overwhelm low lying and poor draining
areas.

Stay tuned for additional updates and information to be prepared for
this potentially significant flooding event.