Areas of fog and low clouds, with areas of dense fog across Nature Coast and East-Central Florida, will gradually lift and dissipate through the early to mid-morning hours.
A more active weather pattern will develop across the Panhandle as a warm front lifts allowing for isolated showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be locally strong to severe this afternoon (20-55% chance of rain).
Breezy wind gusts of 25-35 mph will develop across the Panhandle and Big Bend this afternoon before rain chances increases this evening and overnight.
A cold front will move across the Gulf Coast states late this evening and overnight with a line of scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of and along the cold front (50-90% chance of rain).
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather across the western Panhandle, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) extending into the Apalachicola River as embedded isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible overnight and into the early morning hours on Thursday.
The main hazards associated with these strong to severe thunderstorms include frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), embedded tornadoes and heavy downpours.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across the Panhandle, with the northwestern Panhandle within the Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Flooding, due to the potential for training showers and thunderstorms over the same areas to create localized flooding concerns.
Mostly dry conditions will persist throughout the Peninsula throughout the day as high pressure extends eastward from the western Atlantic.
Above normal high temperatures will persist across the state with temperatures reaching the middle 70s to middle 80s this afternoon.
Feels-like temperatures throughout the interior Peninsula could approach or reach 90-degrees this afternoon.
Breezy onshore winds and increasing ocean swells of 3-6′ will create a high risk for rip currents along all Panhandle beaches and hazardous surf conditions. A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected along all East Coast beaches as well.
Instances of minor coastal flooding will be possible along the Panhandle and Big Bend, especially Apalachee Bay, near and during times of high tide with gusty onshore winds.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.