SPC Feb 16, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday.

...Synopsis...

Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday.
Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies
to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding
thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will
begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low
will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east
into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly
low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest
boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm
temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite
low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast,
precluding thunderstorm potential.

..Leitman.. 02/16/2025

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