Official

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, February 16, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A line of showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be strong to severe, will continue to move across the I-10 corridor then through the central Peninsula today ahead of a cold front sweeping across the Southeast U.S (80-near 100% chance of rain).
  • The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal to Slight Risk (level 1-2 of 5) for Severe Weather throughout most of North Florida as severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-70 mph), embedded tornadoes and heavy downpours.
    • A Tornado Watch has been issued across portions of the eastern Panhandle and the Big Bend through the mid-morning hours due to severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts upwards of 70 mph and a few tornadoes.
    • A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued across portions of the Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida through the early afternoon hours.
  • This line of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to weaken as it moves into the northern Peninsula and the I-4 corridor; however, scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms will remain possible through the evening hours.
  • Organized flash flooding is not expected, but instances of locally heavy rainfall could lead to nuisance and minor flooding for low-lying/poor drainage areas throughout the day.
  • Gusty winds outside of thunderstorm activity will reach upwards of 15-30 mph, with wind gusts upwards of 40-45 mph throughout North Florida and extending into East-Central Florida through this afternoon and evening; Wind Advisories remain in effect.
  • The cold front will continue to push through the southern Peninsula this evening and into the overnight hours bringing a few lingering showers (15-35% chance of rain).
  • Low temperatures will return to the middle to upper 30s along the Panhandle and upper 30s and lower 40s throughout the Big Bend and Suwannee Valley overnight, but feels-like temperatures will drop near freezing (31-33-degrees) and the middle 30s across the Panhandle and Big Bend Monday morning.
    • Areas of patchy frost cannot be ruled out early Monday morning if winds are able to remain light enough and cloud cover dissipates.
  • Hazardous beach and boating conditions extend across all Panhandle beaches with a high risk for rip currents and wave heights upwards of 6-10′. High Surf Advisories remain in effect through this evening.
    • East Coast beaches can also expect a high risk for rip currents and hazardous surf conditions due to waves upwards of 3-6′.
  • Instances of minor coastal flooding and beach erosion cannot be ruled out along portions of the Panhandle and through the Big Bend to Nature Coast due to strong onshore winds and elevated surf near and during times of high tide.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

StormPrep

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