Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025 Valid 271200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A strong mid-level trough will amplify across the East Coast on Thursday with a strong cold front sharpening along the Appalachians and moving into the Atlantic. Given the persistent continental airmass preceding the cold front with minimal moisture recovery, instablity should be quite weak. However, forecast soundings show some weak instability which could promote a few lightning flashes across the Carolinas and vicinity. In the wake of the cold front, dry air will remain across the CONUS and will penetrate well into the Gulf. This should limit any lightning potential on Friday and Saturday. By D7/Sun an D8/Mon, sufficient moisture recovery across the Gulf and inland penetration across the southern Plains and Southeast may result in the potential for thunderstorms and perhaps a few strong to severe storms. However, at this time, this potential does not appear high enough to warrant severe weather probabilities for either day.