An active weather pattern can be expected throughout much of the day as an upper-level disturbance moves across the eastern gulf waters, then re-emerges off the Florida East Coast.
Widespread rainfall, with instances of locally heavy downpours, can be expected throughout the Peninsula during the daytime hours as the disturbance approaches from the west (75-near 100% chance of rain).
With track of the disturbance, embedded thunderstorms will also be possible, especially this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across South Florida and the Keys as some of these thunderstorms may become strong to severe.
Any strong to severe thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), a brief tornado or two and heavy downpours.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is also outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across the Southeast Metro for multiple rounds of shower and thunderstorm activity capable of producing heavy downpours that lead to instances of localized flash flooding for urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
Areas throughout Panhandle will see slightly drier conditions as the heaviest rainfall remain to the east and to the south, but lingering showers will remain possible especially towards the coast.
Shower and thunderstorm will gradually decrease from west to east across the Panhandle, then eventually the Peninsula this evening and overnight; however, widespread showers and thunderstorms can be expected throughout South Florida overnight (60-90% chance of rain).
Instances of patchy fog may be possible across the state overnight and into Tuesday morning due to lingering moisture on the ground.
High temperatures will remain in the 60s and 70s across the state this afternoon.
Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to low 50s across North Florida, middle 50s to lower 60s across Central Florida and lower to middle 60s across South Florida.
A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected across Panhandle and East Coast beaches. An elevated risk for rip currents has been introduced along Southwest Florida while the rest of the West Coast will remain at a low risk.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.