Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2025 Valid 281200Z - 051200Z ...DISCUSSION... A dry, continental airmass across the eastern CONUS and northern Gulf will keep severe weather potential low on D4/Fri and D5/Sat. By D6/Sun, as the mid-level low starts to translate into the southern Plains, robust low-level moisture advection is expected to occur ahead of a developing surface cyclone. After this time, severe weather may be possible any day through early next week. In general, the overall pattern suggests moisture returning to the southern Plains and parts of the Southeast with a broad trough in the western CONUS with a series of shortwave troughs advecting into the Plains and eventually across the eastern CONUS. This pattern will likely support one or more severe weather episodes, but pinpointing the exact day and location will require less variance in the timing and amplitude of the mid-level pattern within the extended range ensemble suite. Therefore, no severe weather probabilities are warranted at this time.