SPC Feb 25, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2025

Valid 281200Z - 051200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A dry, continental airmass across the eastern CONUS and northern
Gulf will keep severe weather potential low on D4/Fri and D5/Sat. By
D6/Sun, as the mid-level low starts to translate into the southern
Plains, robust low-level moisture advection is expected to occur
ahead of a developing surface cyclone. After this time, severe
weather may be possible any day through early next week. In general,
the overall pattern suggests moisture returning to the southern
Plains and parts of the Southeast with a broad trough in the western
CONUS with a series of shortwave troughs advecting into the Plains
and eventually across the eastern CONUS. This pattern will likely
support one or more severe weather episodes, but pinpointing the
exact day and location will require less variance in the timing and
amplitude of the mid-level pattern within the extended range
ensemble suite. Therefore, no severe weather probabilities are
warranted at this time.

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