Critical to Extremely Critical Fire Weather in the Southern Plains; Heavy Snow in the Sierra Nevada and Great Basin

MD 0600 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHERN MO/IL INTO NORTHERN AR Mesoscale Discussion 0600 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0830 AM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Areas affected...southern MO/IL into northern AR Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 291330Z - 291500Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Strong to severe wind gusts will persist with a bowing cluster of storms moving across southern Missouri and northern Arkansas. A new Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be needed. DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms moving into southwest MO/far northwest AR has produced wind damage and severe gusts recently at

MD 0599 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 186... FOR CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 0599 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0552 AM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025 Areas affected...central into northeast Oklahoma...far southeast Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 186... Valid 291052Z - 291345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 186 continues. SUMMARY...Locally severe gusts remain possible from central into northeast Oklahoma. DISCUSSION...The leading edge of a small MCS which moved out of northwest TX and pivoted into southwest OK continues to produce measured severe gusts, most recently in Grady County as of 1030Z. North of this