SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0657 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TO SOUTHERN ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with a threat for damaging winds and a few tornadoes will continue into the evening and overnight hours across portions of the Southeast. ...Southeast... A strongly forcing QLCS will continue to move across portions of southern MS/southeast LA and AL this evening, shifting east into the FL Panhandle and GA overnight. While instability will remain modest, very strong deep-layer flow fields will support robust damaging wind potential. Likewise, strong low-level shear, as evident in regional VWP data indicates potential for a few tornadoes. Tornado potential will mostly be confined the Gulf coast into southern AL where at least some potential for surface-based convection exists amid dewpoints in the low 60s F. Otherwise, strong to damaging gusts will be possible near the QLCS, with diminishing potential with northward extent as instability wanes toward northern AL/TN/KY. ..Leitman.. 03/05/2025