Official

SPC Mar 5, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0657 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025

Valid 050100Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST TO SOUTHERN ALABAMA...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms with a threat for damaging winds and a few
tornadoes will continue into the evening and overnight hours across
portions of the Southeast.

...Southeast...

A strongly forcing QLCS will continue to move across portions of
southern MS/southeast LA and AL this evening, shifting east into the
FL Panhandle and GA overnight. While instability will remain modest,
very strong deep-layer flow fields will support robust damaging wind
potential. Likewise, strong low-level shear, as evident in regional
VWP data indicates potential for a few tornadoes. Tornado potential
will mostly be confined the Gulf coast into southern AL where at
least some potential for surface-based convection exists amid
dewpoints in the low 60s F. Otherwise, strong to damaging gusts will
be possible near the QLCS, with diminishing potential with northward
extent as instability wanes toward northern AL/TN/KY.

..Leitman.. 03/05/2025

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