Official

SPC Mar 6, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0656 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025

Valid 060100Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC...

...SUMMARY...
Marginally severe storms with isolated severe wind gusts will be
possible this evening across parts of the Mid-Atlantic.

...Mid-Atlantic...
A mid-level trough, evident on water vapor imagery, will move
eastward across the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys this evening. At the
surface, a cold front is located in the southern and central
Appalachians. Ahead of the front, an axis of low-level moisture is
analyzed from far eastern North Carolina northward into eastern
Virginia, where surface dewpoints are generally in the 50s F.
Thunderstorms are ongoing along the western edge of this moist
corridor ahead of the front near a surface trough. This area is also
close to a mid-level jet with wind speeds around 100 knots. Near
this jet streak, deep-layer shear is strong and large-scale ascent
is focused. This environment along with some instability will be
sufficient for a marginal severe threat for a few more hours this
evening. Isolated severe wind gusts will be the primary threat.

..Broyles.. 03/06/2025

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