Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Instances of patchy to dense fog will continue to lift and dissipate this morning across interior portions of the Peninsula.
- A surface low pressure will continue to develop along the Gulf Coast and begin to move eastward and parallel along the coastline towards the Florida Panhandle and a draped frontal boundary near the state line throughout the day.
- Abundant moisture will continue to be pulled northward throughout the day creating scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms throughout North Florida (65-90% chance of rain).
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather throughout much of North Florida as strong to severe thunderstorms may be capable of producing all severe-weather hazards, including frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (55-70 mph), an isolated tornado or two, large hail (upwards of 1-1.25” or quarter to dollar-coin size) and heavy downpours.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Flooding throughout much of the Big Bend and Northeast Florida, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) extending across nearly all of North Florida and into the northern Peninsula as another active weather day can be expected.
- A Flood Watch also extends across much of the Big Bend and across the eastern I-10 corridor towards Northeast Florida through early Monday morning for excessive rainfall increasing the potential for flooding concerns.
- Throughout Central and South Florida mostly dry conditions can be expected throughout the day, with the chance for spotty showers later in the day north of the I-4 corridor (15-25% chance of rain).
- Scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms can be expected to continue throughout the evening and into the overnight hours across much of North Florida and the northern Peninsula (55-95% chance of rain).
- As the surface low develops and moves towards the Big Bend and inland overnight, its associated cold front will also begin to drag eastward bringing rainfall further south towards the I-4 corridor during the early morning hours on Monday.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected across numerous Panhandle and East Coast beaches.
- Onshore winds associated with a developing gulf low may lead to instances of nuisance coastal flooding and beach erosion near and during times of high tide along the Big Bend and towards Nature Coast.
- Numerous rivers across the Big Bend and Suwannee River Valley are forecast to rise into Action Stage (bank-full) over the next couple of days following heavy and widespread rainfall.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.