Instances of patchy to dense fogwill continue to lift and dissipate this morning across interior portions of the Peninsula.
A surface low pressure will continue to develop along the Gulf Coast and begin to move eastward and parallel along the coastline towards the Florida Panhandle and a draped frontal boundary near the state line throughout the day.
Abundant moisture will continue to be pulled northward throughout the day creating scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms throughout North Florida (65-90% chance of rain).
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weatherthroughout much of North Florida as strong to severe thunderstormsmay be capable of producing all severe-weather hazards, including frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (55-70 mph), an isolated tornado or two, large hail (upwards of 1-1.25” or quarter to dollar-coin size) and heavy downpours.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Floodingthroughout much of the Big Bend and Northeast Florida, with aMarginal Risk (level 1 of 4) extending across nearly all of North Florida and into the northern Peninsula as another active weather day can be expected.
A Flood Watchalso extends across much of the Big Bend and across the eastern I-10 corridor towards Northeast Florida through early Monday morning for excessive rainfall increasing the potential for flooding concerns.
Throughout Central and South Florida mostly dry conditions can be expected throughout the day, with the chance for spotty showers later in the day north of the I-4 corridor (15-25% chance of rain).
Scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms can be expected to continue throughout the evening and into the overnight hours across much of North Florida and the northern Peninsula (55-95% chance of rain).
As the surface low develops and moves towards the Big Bend and inland overnight, its associated cold front will also begin to drag eastward bringing rainfall further south towards the I-4 corridor during the early morning hours on Monday.
A moderate to high risk for rip currentscan be expected across numerous Panhandle and East Coast beaches.
Onshore winds associated with a developing gulf low may lead to instances of nuisance coastal flooding and beach erosionnear and during times of high tide along the Big Bend and towards Nature Coast.
Numerous rivers across the Big Bend and Suwannee River Valley are forecast to rise into Action Stage (bank-full) over the next couple of days following heavy and widespread rainfall.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.