Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A frontal system will continue to move northeastward from the Big Bend and towards the southwestern Atlantic waters throughout the day keeping the active weather pattern in place throughout much of the state.
- Showers and thunderstorms ahead of and along a cold front associated with the system will continue to push southward throughout the day from Northeast Florida through the Peninsula (70-95% chance of rain).
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather from the northern Peninsula through Central Florida and northern Lake Okeechobee for embedded strong to severe thunderstorms.
- Any strong to severe thunderstorm that develops will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), an isolated tornado or two and heavy downpours. Instances of small hail cannot be ruled out as well.
- Outside of thunderstorm activity, breezy wind gusts upwards of 25-35 mph can be expected to develop throughout the day across the state, with the strongest wind gusts along portions of East-Central and Southeast Florida.
- Wind Advisories have been issued across portions of East-Central Florida where winds of 15-20 mph and wind gusts upwards of 35 mph can be expected later this morning and into the evening hours.
- While there is no organized risk for flash flooding today, instances of locally heavy downpours could lead to instances of localized flash flooding and ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- The cold front will eventually push through the southern Peninsula and Keys this evening allowing for mostly dry conditions to return overnight.
- High temperatures will reach the lower 60s to lower 70s across North Florida, middle to upper 70s across Central Florida and upper 70s to middle 80s across South Florida.
- Low temperatures will fall into the 40s across North Florida and 50s to lower 60s across Central and South Florida.
- A high risk for rip currents can be expected across all Gulf and West Coast beaches due to northwesterly winds and large ocean swells upwards of 4-7′.
- A High Surf Advisory will go into effect today along portions of the Panhandle due to dangerous beach and boating conditions through this evening.
- River Flood Warnings have been issued for the Aucilla River at Lamont and St. Mary’s River at Macclenny as recent heavy rainfall has led to water levels rises that are forecast to reach minor flood stage over the next couple of days.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
