SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0748 PM CDT Mon Mar 10 2025 Valid 110100Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms have shifted offshore over south Florida, and will gradually do so over eastern North Carolina as well. Inland severe weather is not expected. ...Discussion... An upper low now centered over the lower Savannah River Valley will continue moving eastward this evening, eventually moving offshore/over the Gulf Stream. As this occurs, a surface low just offshore of the Carolina Coast will likewise shift northeastward. A cold front trailing southwestward from the surface low has cleared the Florida Peninsula. Associated deep/moist convection has likewise moved offshore, ending the earlier risk over southern Florida. Meanwhile, elevated convection persists over parts of eastern North Carolina, along with sporadic inland lightning, though the majority of the lightning activity is now occurring offshore. This trend will continue, but for this evening, will maintain a small 10% thunder area over the North Carolina Coastal Plain. ..Goss.. 03/11/2025