SPC MD 185

MD 0185 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 32…37… FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN ILLINOIS…SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI…AND NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS

Mesoscale Discussion 0185
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1042 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025

Areas affected...central and western Illinois...southeastern
Missouri...and northeastern and central Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 32...37...

Valid 150342Z - 150445Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 32, 37 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe/isolated tornado risk to continue from central
Illinois southwestward into central Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows that supercell storms that
moved through the St. Louis area have evolved toward more of a
damaging wind risk, as they have interacted with a drier low-level
airmass east of the Mississippi River.  With that said, damaging
wind gusts remain likely, along with ongoing -- albeit somewhat
lesser -- tornado potential.

Farther south-southwestward along the convective band, more
isolated/classic-looking supercells extend across southeastern
Missouri, and particularly into northeastern and into central
Arkansas.  Specifically, strong rotation is noted within several
storms in a zone from southeastern Reynolds/northwestern Wayne
Counties in Missouri, southwestward to White County Arkansas.  Along
with risk for damaging winds and hail, greatest tornado risk appears
to exist across this zone over the next couple of hours.  Southern
portions of WW 32 may be extended in time, beyond its scheduled
15/04Z expiration.

..Goss.. 03/15/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   34469245 35209241 37119092 38229085 39148980 40008987
            40868924 40878765 39168756 38648840 37448972 34629127
            34469245 

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