Mostly dry conditions statewide through the afternoon and along the Peninsula and Keys this evening and tonight (near 0-20% chance of rain).
A broken squall line of severe thunderstorms(Enhanced to Moderate Risk for Severe Weather – level 3-4 of 5) is forecast to push across the Florida Panhandle from west to east tonight into Sunday morning along and ahead of a cold front (60-near 100% chance of rain).
Discrete supercell activity may be possible ahead of the primary squall line.
Significant severe weather-related hazards including strong tornadoes (EF-2 or greater), a few of which could be long-track in nature, damaging thunderstorm-driven wind gusts in excess of 70 mph, and instances of large hail (1” to 2”, or quarter to egg-size) will be possible.
As the line transitions eastward towards the Apalachicola river and the Capital City, the severe weather threat will transition more to a damaging wind threat as the potential for discrete supercells lessens across the Eastern Big Bend (Marginal to Slight Risk for Severe Weather – level 1-2 of 5); however, the tornado threat and the potential for more isolated hail will continue as well.
Locally higher rainfall totals may lead to localized instances of flooding and ponding of water along the Panhandle and Western Big Bend at times (Marginal Risk for Flash Flooding – level 1 of 4).
High temperatures in the middle 70s to low 80s along the Florida Panhandle and 80s elsewhere.
Wind Advisories issued along the Florida Panhandle as south winds of 15-25 mph with gusts up to 40-45 mphare expected before the squall line and severe weather threat arrives tonight.
Breezy winds near 10-15 mph with gusts upwards of 15-25 mph expected elsewhere.
Hazardous beach and boating conditionsand a moderate tohigh risk for rip currents expected to develop statewide.
Minor coastal floodingpossible along the shoreline of Apalachee Bay tonight and Sunday morning.
Low temperatures in the upper 50s to middle 60s along the Florida Panhandle, middle to upper 60s across the Northern Peninsula, and upper 60s to middle 70s elsewhere.
Areas of patchy to locally dense fog will be possible across the Florida Panhandle Suwannee Valley and along the West Coast overnight into Sunday morning.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.