SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible Monday morning and afternoon, from southern Louisiana eastward to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough is forecast to advance slowly eastward across the eastern half of the U.S. on Monday, while ridging expands over the West. At the surface, a weakening occluded low will move from the Upper Great Lakes eastward to southern Quebec through the period. A trailing cold front will initially stretch from the Lower Great Lakes to the southern Appalachians, and then westward across the Gulf Coast States to Texas. The front will move offshore into the western Atlantic through the day, while sagging southward toward the Gulf Coast -- where it should then linger through the end of the period. ...Southern Louisiana to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle... Showers and a few thunderstorms will likely be ongoing near and south of the advancing cold front. Some severe risk (mainly hail/wind) may accompany a couple of the stronger storms during the morning, near the Gulf Coast region. Depending upon convective coverage/evolution through late morning, any pre-frontal heating/destabilization could support redevelopment/reintensification of frontal convection, with a secondary peak in severe potential possible in this scenario. Still, overall risk does not appear to warrant SLGT risk upgrade at this time. Storms should weaken into the evening, while also shifting gradually southward/offshore. ..Goss.. 03/23/2025