SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Risk for severe weather appears low at this time across the U.S. on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A very slowly progressing upper pattern -- featuring an eastern U.S. trough and a ridge over the interior West -- will persist across the U.S. Tuesday. Through the second half of the period, an eastern Pacific trough is forecast to impinge on the West Coast. At the surface, the primary/remnant surface baroclinic zone -- which will have moved off the eastern seaboard prior to the start of the period, is forecast to trail westward from Florida to Texas. At this time, it appears that showers and a few thunderstorms will affect roughly the southern half of Florida during the afternoon, in the vicinity of the surface front, and near sea-breeze boundaries south of the front. Gusty winds and small hail may occur with one or two of the stronger storms. Farther west, a very conditional risk for isolated storm development appears to exist across central and northern Texas during the afternoon. Steep lapse rates/ample CAPE, but modest flow aloft suggests disorganized storms, but low/conditional risk for near-severe hail and/or wind is apparent. Overnight, elevated convection may develop north of the surface front, over the Oklahoma vicinity. However, modest CAPE suggests that any hail should remain sub-severe. Elsewhere, a few lightning flashes may be possible near Pacific Northwest coastal ranges very late in the period, as the upper trough approaches. Severe weather is not expected. ..Goss.. 03/24/2025