The combination of dry fuels, low relative humidity, and gusty
winds will lead to increased fire danger today. Relative humidity
values will drop to 25 to 30 percent, accompanied by southwest
wind gusts of 20 to 25 mph this afternoon.
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SPC – No watches are valid as of Sat Apr 19 12:23:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Sat Apr 19 12:23:02 UTC 2025.
SPC MD 481
MD 0481 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA Mesoscale Discussion 0481 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0526 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Areas affected...Southeast Missouri...Southern Illinois...Southwest Indiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 191026Z - 191300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...A threat for severe wind gusts will likely continue across parts of southeast Missouri, and may affect parts of southern Illinois and southwest Indiana later this morning. New watch issuance may be needed. DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar imagery from St. Louis shows a short bowing line segment moving through southeast Missouri. The line segment is located
SPC Apr 19, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Days 4-6/Tue-Thu -- Southern Plains... A low-amplitude west/southwesterly mid/upper flow pattern will prevail Days 4-6/Tue-Thu. South/southeasterly low-level flow across the western Gulf into the southern Plains will allow for northward moisture transport and daily diurnal destabilization. In the absence of any stronger shortwave troughs moving through the weak west/southwesterly flow regime, severe potential is uncertain and will likely be driven by mesoscale/local processes, precluding 15 percent probabilities at this time. Read more