MD 0304 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 70… FOR FAR EAST-CENTRAL MISSOURI…PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS


Mesoscale Discussion 0304
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0227 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Areas affected...Far east-central Missouri...parts of southern
Illinois

Concerning...Tornado Watch 70...

Valid 301927Z - 302100Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 70 continues.

SUMMARY...Supercells moving into southern Illinois will pose a
threat for tornadoes (possibly strong) and large to very-large hail.

DISCUSSION...Storms in and moving into southern Illinois have so far
remained discrete. Regional VAD data suggest that this region
remains favorable for low-level rotation in supercells. As long as
storms remain discrete, which is not certain given the cold front
moving southeastward, there will be a threat for a tornado (possibly
strong) and large to very-large hail.

..Wendt.. 03/30/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON   37799093 37989090 38159077 38539030 38858953 39098825
            39058738 38738717 38448731 38138776 37938884 37719010
            37659072 37669085 37799093 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN

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