SPC MD 414

MD 0414 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 122…124… FOR WESTERN TENNESSEE TO FAR SOUTHERN KENTUCKY


Mesoscale Discussion 0414
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0234 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025

Areas affected...western Tennessee to far southern Kentucky

Concerning...Tornado Watch 122...124...

Valid 051934Z - 052130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 122, 124 continues.

SUMMARY...A damaging wind and tornado threat is expected to persist
through the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A well-developed squall line continues across western
Tennessee. Measured wind gusts have been mostly in the 35 to 45 knot
range recently as the apex of the bow weakened somewhat as it moved
into an airmass featuring low 50s temperatures. The only exception
was a measured 51 kt gust at KHKA at 1917Z on the northern end of
the bow.  Some enhancement of this bow is possible over the next 1
to 2 hours as it interacts with a more unstable surface airmass
along the front across southern Tennessee with temperatures in the
low 80s and dewpoints in the mid 60s. In addition, some enhancement
of the low-level jet (between 1 and 2 km) has been sampled by the
KOHX VWP. This will further support maintenance of the MCS and its
associated wind threat, and will also aid in the low-level shear
favorable for some embedded tornado threat. Expect the apex of this
bow to continue to orient along the instability gradient, along and
slightly south of I-40 between Memphis and Nashville, TN.

..Bentley.. 04/05/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35328971 35708947 36128941 36798795 37188678 36988598
            36058563 35078624 34868817 34808923 34909022 35328971 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

StormPrep