Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A line of scattered showers and thunderstorms is currently moving along the eastern Panhandle, and will continue to move across the I-10 corridor throughout the daytime hours ahead of a cold front.
- Within the line of showers and thunderstorms, embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the Big Bend, Northeast Florida and Nature Coast, especially after sunrise and throughout the daytime hours (75-near 100% chance of rain).
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather across the Big Bend and portions of Northeast Florida, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) extending into Nature Coast for those embedded strong to severe thunderstorms.
- Hazards within strong to severe thunderstorms will include lightning, damaging wind gusts (55-65 mph), embedded tornadoes and heavy downpours. Instances of hail cannot be ruled out.
- Another round of showers and thunderstorms behind the main line will develop across portions of the Panhandle bringing additional rainfall to areas that already saw heavy rainfall on Sunday.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across North Florida, with a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) across the far western Panhandle, as slow-moving thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy downpours that could lead to instances of localized flash flooding.
- Breezy wind gusts near 15-20 mph will develop outside of thunderstorms throughout the afternoon statewide, with stronger wind gusts upwards of 25-30 mph.
- Wind Advisories have been issued across Northeast Florida and the Suwannee Valley through this evening as wind gusts upwards of 40-45 mph will be possible.
- With breezy wind gusts, and ongoing dry conditions, sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions will develop throughout the interior Peninsula this afternoon as relative humidity values fall near critical thresholds (35-40%).
- High temperatures will reach the middle 60s to middle 70s across the Panhandle and western Big Bend, upper 70s to upper 80s across the eastern Big Bend and Northeast Florida and middle 80s to lower 90s across Central and South Florida.
- The line of showers and thunderstorms will continue into the evening hours over the northern Peninsula and Nature Coast before pushing into Central Florida overnight and beginning to fall apart, but drier conditions will gradually return from west to east across the Panhandle and Big Bend.
- Moisture ahead of the system will allow for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the overnight hours across Central and South Florida (40-60% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 40s and 50s across North Florida, middle to upper 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
- Breezy winds and elevated surf of 3-6′ statewide will create a moderate to high risk for rip currents across all beaches.
- High Surf Advisories continue through this afternoon along the western Panhandle beaches.
- River Flood Warnings have been issued for the Escambia River near Century and Perdido River near Barrineau Park as recent rainfall will allow for water levels to rise near or into minor flood stage over the next few days.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
