Official

SPC Apr 9, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0247 PM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025

Valid 092000Z - 101200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms remain possible through tonight from parts of
the northern/central Plains into the Midwest and Ohio Valley and
eastern FL. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.

...20z Update...
Only minor changes were made to the thunder areas across parts of NE
and MT for the latest guidance and ongoing storms. Severe
thunderstorms are unlikely, see the prior discussion.

..Lyons.. 04/09/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1115 AM CDT Wed Apr 09 2025/

...Synopsis and Discussion...
Multiple low-amplitude, mid-level shortwave troughs are forecast to
develop east-southeastward today and tonight from parts of the
northern/central Plains into the Midwest and OH Valley. Rather
meager/shallow low-level moisture will tend to limit thunderstorm
coverage and intensity across these regions. Even so, sufficient
large-scale ascent and weak MUCAPE may still support isolated
convection capable of producing lightning through the period.
Occasional strong/gusty winds may occur with high-based
thunderstorms across parts of SD/NE this afternoon, but organized
severe thunderstorms are not forecast.

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